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Paul Krugman vs The Confidence Fairy

by on Oct. 28, 2011, under Capitalism, Confidence Fairy, Debt Crisis, Economics, Federal Budget, Occupy Wall Street, Politics, Recession

Financial markets are booming. The Dow is up 11% this month.  Financial institutions are delighted. (The jobless are, well, still jobless.) Who is responsible? Well, indirectly, or maybe directly, it is German Chancellor Angela Merkel, who dragged the Euro-Zone banks into agreeing to take a fifty percent haircut on their Greek bonds. The markets cheered.

In this morning’s NY Times  column Paul Krugman puts it all in perspective. (Italics are mine.

 It’s worth stepping back to look at the larger picture, namely the abject failure of an economic doctrine — a doctrine that has inflicted huge damage both in Europe and in the United States.

The doctrine in question amounts to the assertion that, in the aftermath of a financial crisis, banks must be bailed out but the general public must pay the price. So a crisis brought on by deregulation becomes a reason to move even further to the right; a time of mass unemployment, instead of spurring public efforts to create jobs, becomes an era of austerity, in which government spending and social programs are slashed.

This doctrine was sold both with claims that there was no alternative — that both bailouts and spending cuts were necessary to satisfy financial markets — and with claims that fiscal austerity would actually create jobs. The idea was that spending cuts would make consumers and businesses more confident. And this confidence would supposedly stimulate private spending, more than offsetting the depressing effects of government cutbacks.

You all know how successful that has been. The banks are hoarding money that might be leant to business start-ups and the jobless are still jobless. Nothing has trickled down.

Now the results are in and the picture isn’t pretty. Greece has been pushed by its austerity measures into an ever-deepening slump — and that slump, not lack of effort on the part of the Greek government, was the reason a classified report to European leaders concluded last week that the existing program there was unworkable. Britain’s economy has stalled under the impact of austerity, and confidence from both businesses and consumers has slumped, not soared.

 

Pow! Take that, Confidence Fairy!

 

Full text here


  • tiponeill

    Krugman has proven consistently correct at every stage of this debacle.
    Naturally, he must be ignored.
    When seeking advice on economic policy naturally we seek out those who have been consistently wrong.
    Ideology trumps science. 

    • GREECE AHOY

      Do you honestly understand just how bad things are?
      Even if we follow the bread and circus suggestions of Kitty Cat Krugman, and hand everyone a credit card for 50″ TVs,  that ain’t going to do it.

       I don’t want to sound like some sort of survivalist but they can’t even come to grips with cutting $1.2(B)- About 10% of what is really necessary…. Peak oil has come and gone- I’m afraid that your biggest problem will be your complete lack of pioneering skills.  
      Myself I’m betting on portable silver and a pretty large piece of farm land with cooperative natives in German Paraguay.

      • leftfield

        “Kitty Cat Krugman”

        After all, what does a Nobel Prize winner know that I should listen to anyway? 

        Perhaps Yogi Berra is more your style.  He said, “There are some folks who, if they don’t already know, you can’t tell ‘em”.

      • cochisecitizen

        You don’t want to sound like some sort of survivalist, but you’re betting on silver and farm land in Paraguay????? Seriously?????
        And if you think $1.2(B) is about 10% of what is necessary then you’ll be ecstatic to learn that they’re actually arguing over $1.2 Trillion, which is 1000 times more than $1.2 Billion. See, no need to move south and learn Spanish (or German).

    • leftfield

      “Ideology trumps science.”

      For the faithful, it has become like religion and no amount of evidence to the contrary will shake that faith.   What we need really is a vaccine, or something akin to the War on Drugs – “This is your brain on Supply-Side dogma”; “Just Say NO to Grover Zombies”.

  • George W

    German’s in Paraguay? Last I heard they were ex-nazi’s or their offspring!:-) One cannot eat silver or gold, but one can plant a vegetable seed, raise a hog on pretty much anything, chickens can be let to run free range with a daily feeding to keep them close by when putting them up for the night, then let run during the day! Takes no rocket scientist or stock market expert to grow vegetables, raise live stock which one can eat, but mostly some folks are so educated they are plain dumb to how to hunt, fish, do the common sense things us common folks can do naturally!:-) I cannot predict the future, but one does not need to move to Paraguay to plant a garden, raise live stock, of course the right wing paper rich wann-be’s living in their delusions have all kinds of fantasies! I think I will not travel to south america as long as north america is not unlivable due to some natural apocalyptic event such as a super volcano or massive flooding event due to pole shift, but hey let the dummies on wall street think they can eat them gold coins, sliver bars….I venture a bet they will not digest to well!

  • George W

    Anyone ever wonder why we have these self professed financial expert advisers? Anyone but me remember when the goofy financial expert on fox & friends was protesting pre-housing market bubble bust, it was not coming, he was advising buy real estate? He is still there today giving advice, pretending to know from his magical crystal ball/psychic ability what will happen tomorrow! And some folks are still tuning in and making decisions based on these “professional hacks who make their living from giving advice to fools to dumb to think for themselves”!

  • leftfield

    Yet another example of disaster capitalism.