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The Data Port - Politics, Literature, And The Little Disturbances of Man

The Barber-Heinz Primary

by on Jul. 05, 2012, under Arizona Congressional District2, Arizona Primaries, Martha McSally, Matt Heinz, Politics, Ron Barber

It didn’t take a lot of votes for some liberals/progressives to become disenchanted with their new congressman. They declared in comment threads and letters to the editor that they were fed up and were withdrawing their support. When primary voting for Congressional District 2 comes round they were going to support Barber’s primary opponent Matt Heinz.

Heinz’s political views  are solidly progressive and caring; he’s one of the good guys and would surely make an excellent congressman. So if he speaks to your political heart by all means give him your vote. He may yet have a Congressional career.

Here at The Data Port we look forward to a Barber-Heinz debate or two. Such debates clarify positions and give each candidate debate training, which they’ll need; Martha McSally will be a tougher debate opponent than Jesse Kelly.

My crystal ball is pretty cracked and clouded, but if I squint at it, at just the right angle, I think I see Barber beating Heinz. Even Democratic activists who are still piqued at Barber for his late (and unexpected) entry in the District 2 race will fall in line for Barber. Perceived electability is all.

Here’s the reasoning: The DCCC-  Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee- is not going to leave a sitting congressman turning in the wind without financial backing and considerable support. A newcomer, perhaps a tad more liberal than Barber, may not be viewed as electable and a judgment made to spend resources elsewhere. There is a risk that Heinz will be under-funded.

Well, remember the ol’ crystal ball is cracked and cloudy. Still, some hard-nosed political advice from a former Chicago-style Democrat. How barber has voted in the past and how he votes between now and November pales to insignificance compared to the first vote he’ll make when the new Congress convenes.

He’ll vote for the Speaker of the House and help control the agenda for the next two years; or if the Democrats don’t win he’ll elect the minority leader. No other votes he will make are as important.

As for the political past: That was then and this is now. Better Barber than McSally.

 



  • Doug Baron

    Heinz is the better overall prospect for this position. Barber may have money, but Heinz has been gaining momentum in these past weeks. With Barber’s two recent votes leaving a sour taste in many people’s mouths, Heinz has an opportunity to shock a lot of people given that Barber continues to make a distinction that he is nothing more than a blue dog. It is one thing to walk the line but another to slap constituents in the face with votes such as these. He was elected to vote in the interest of the people who put him in office, hopefully we can get someone in who understands that.

  • tiponeill

    I much prefer Heinz and will vote for him, but I expect Barber to win, as the establishment’s picked candidate. 

  • BajaDemocrats

    Barber was the logical choice to fill the remainder of Gabby’s elected term, and a good choice. But we deserve a choice in a competitive primary for the new CD2. Barber’s recent votes breathed new life into Heinz’s candidacy, which previously looked like a waste of time. But clearly Barber is still the odds on favorite. Either Heinz or Barber would be much better than McSally.

  • Fraser007

    How would have Gabby voted? ….Guess the “office manager” was not what you expected. Too bad. Barber ran around like he was the annointed one during the process. Just not enough good material waiting in the wings.
    I predicted this in an early post. But deep in your hearts you knew I was right.

  • toughteri

    Ah, too bad I will be out of Barber’s district come November; with his voting record established, I would have supported him.  Who knew that Ron would have an independent streak!  Go, Ron Barber!  You’re freakin them out.

  • Carolyn_Classen
  • FortLowell

    Heinz is clearly the long term right choice. Barber can’t hold on long term. As for Party inflence, The Democrat Party seems to have broken the cardinal rule of ‘no pre-primary side choosing’ so oftem and so casually that they forgot the rule. Forget a citzen government where anyone an run, it’s party 1st and if the DNC doesn’t bless you, your not a ‘real Democrat’ therefore you can’t run. How very democratic…………