Stiteler and The Economics of Development
Thursday, June 18th, 2009There is an issue with the Stiteler development that has gone unreported. I suspect that’s because, like so many economic issues, it hasn’t been understood. It surely hasn’t been understood by the City Council.
I will now perform the death-defying feat of trying to explain it. Before I do, let me remind you that a great deal of development and improvement has gone on downtown fueled by purely private investment. I.E: with little or no public support.
Mr. Private Developer, henceforth PD, sees a downtown property he thinks is ripe for re-development. He buys it, and does all the preparatory and clean-up work to start building his lofts, or studios, or restaurant space–whatever his plan is. Let’s say that he invests a million bucks in all that, in buying the property and in development preparation. Now PD goes to the bank. He needs a two million dollar loan for his project.
Mr Banker, henceforth MB, takes a look at the projections, PD’s pro-formas and so forth.
MB: See here, PD, you have a cost basis of a million dollars in this project and now you want a two million dollar loan. That means you’ll be into the project for a total of three million bucks. In order for it to cash flow you’ll have to charge rent at so-and-so many dollars a square foot.
MB: Now here’s my problem. There’s another developer in the neighborhood who has been given his land by the City. His cost basis is zero, zip, nada. He’s come to me for a loan, too. Like you he wants 2 million. In order to cash flow he could charge fewer dollars per square foot than you. But even if he charges what you plan to charge, he is a better risk because he’ll be into the project for only two million.
He’s a better risk and I have limited resources so if I make your loan at all it will have to be for a higher interest rate.
Hence it is at least arguable that giving away City property makes it harder for private developers, not easier. In the attempt to spur development the City Council has placed all other development at a disadvantage.
