Tucson needs a REPUBLICAN in the House of Representatives—The Series Continuesby Don on May. 22, 2012, under Uncategorized
The House of Representatives does what the majority party wants it to do. If you want to have clout in the House, you want a Representative who’s from the majority party. That party is, and will be, the GOP. So, if Tucson wants a voice in the House that the leadership will listen to, we need a Republican representative.
(Oh…we’re in luck! There’s a House election coming up…)
By comparison, in the Senate, an individual Senator can sway the course and content of legislation when the vote is close. Even when the vote isn’t only NOT close, it’s against him, one Senator (or a few) can slow down the whole legislative process. (If nothing else, they can filibuster, something it takes sixty votes to stop.) In so doing, they can force the Senate leadership to listen to, and heed, them.
The House of Representatives isn’t the Senate. The majority party runs it, and the Speaker of the House and the Majority Leader and Whip run the majority party. Maverick Congressmen/women—or members of the minority party—get marginalized, unless the Speaker and Majority Leader want them to be players.
What are the chances that the GOP will lose the House in November? Well, let’s see what the experts say.
- According to the Cook Political Report, the 2010 redistricting fortified 10 to 15 Congressional seats for the GOP.
- “Republicans are in strong position to keep control of the House” says Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball. (Crystal Ball reached that assessment with a predictive model that “accurately predicted the Democratic takeover of the House of Representatives and Senate in 2006 and the Republican takeover of the House in 2010.”)
- Intrade gives the GOP a 75% chance of keeping control.
- Election Projection predicts that the GOP will pick up 6 seats in November, giving it 248 members.
When most Americans look at Arizona, what do they see? (OK, besides the Grand Canyon). They see Phoenix. C’mon, admit it—we know it’s true. (Non-Chicagoans and upstate New Yorkers know what I’m talking about here).
Phoenix has several GOP House members, plus both US Senators. Tucson has Raul Grijalva, who’s chairman of the House Progressive Caucus and world-famous for calling for a boycott of his own state over SB1070.
When Speaker of the House John Boehner and the House GOP leadership look south of Phoenix, don’t we want them to see something besides “Baja Arizona?” I sure do.
Elect Jesse Kelly in CD 8. Keep Tucson from being marginalized in Congress.