Due to career politician Jeff Flake’s tea party extremism, Richard Carmona leading in polls with Independent Registered Votersby Dee Dee Garcia Blase on Nov. 04, 2012, under 2012 United states senate races
Due to career politician Jeff Flake’s tea party extremism, Richard Carmona leading in polls with Independent Registered Voters.
Keep in mind the poll is not taking the “L” Factor into consideration with regard to Libertarian Candidate Marc J. Victor who is also running under the Libertarian ticket. Arizona is Libertarian-esque Barry Goldwater country.
The Democratic pollster detects a shift in momentum in the Arizona Senate race:
Richard Carmona led our last Arizona Senate poll, in early October, 45-43. What’s happened since then is pretty straight forward- the Republican base has unified around Jeff Flake. He’s gone from pulling 70% of Republicans on that survey to now 88%. And although Carmona still leads by 5 points with independents, Flake’s cut that down from a 15 point lead a month ago.
Attacks on Carmona have taken a toll- his net favorability has dropped 11 points from +8 at 35/27 to -3 at 40/43. He leads 70/26 with Hispanics but that’s not enough to make up for his 59/39 deficit with white voters.