Just in: It looks like the Democratic Seats might maintain their majority and this will be good for those who are going to push legal immigration reform. We are hawkish on the Senate seats.
The combination of returning senators and candidates currently leading by at least three points in the current HuffPost Pollster estimates in 2012 contests would give the Democrats 50 seats. Additionally, one independent candidate that is likely to caucus with the Democrats continues to lead in polls in Maine, which would give them 51 seats — just enough for an outright majority.
While holding the seats that are leaning in their direction, the GOP’s most likely path to a majority is winning the four races currently rated as “toss-ups,” in which neither candidate leads by more than a three-point margin in the HuffPost Pollster estimate, as well as winning one seat that is currently rated as “leaning Democratic” (or convincing independent Angus King of Maine to caucus with them).