by Scott Terrell on Nov.19, 2009, under Sports
This Week In The Pac-10, Week 12: It doesn’t get any bigger than this
Is this the week the dream dies? Or does Arizona rise from the ashes on GameDay?
ASU (4-6 / 2-5) at UCLA (5-5 / 2-5) – 2 PM (all times Arizona/Mountain), FSN
The loser drops into 9th place. Can UCLA complete the three-game-winning-streak bookend to its midseason five-game slide?
Who do we root for?
UCLA. Doesn’t that feel much better? There’s a big reason to root against the Bruins (they only have one fewer overall win than the Wildcats) but eliminating the Devils from bowl contention a week before we play them would be a glorious thing.
OSU (7-3 / 5-2) at WSU (1-9 / 0-7) – 3 PM
Everyone in the league is talking about an Oregon/Oregon State showdown for the Pac-10 championship. The Beavers couldn’t possibly blow it against the lowly Cougars, could they?
Who do we root for?
WSU. With the Cal loss OSU isn’t needed for tiebreakers. Arizona wins out or it doesn’t. An unbelievable Beaver loss would drop them further down the bowl ladder.
Cal (7-3 / 4-3) at Stanford (7-3 / 6-2) – 5:30 PM, Versus
The Big Game has ended in a tie eleven times. What is this, a soccer rivalry?
Who do we root for?
Cal. Same logic as the OSU game. Stanford is higher in the standings so we want them to fall.
Oregon (8-2 / 6-1) at ARIZONA (6-3 / 4-2) – 6 PM, ABC
You can’t ask for a more meaningful final home game if you’re a UA senior.
Who do we root for?
Your Back-In-The-Underdog-Cape Arizona Wildcats.
Are you ready for the most significant November football game in the history of the University of Arizona? The Cats have never before carried win-out-and-we’re-in status this late in the season. The college football world, through the eyes of the Worldwide Leader in Sports, has never focused on Tucson as intently as it will on Saturday.
Arizona has beaten great teams in November before. But this game is different. This time the Wildcats have a chance to become a great team in November.
If you’ve ever wondered what a big-time football atmosphere would look like decked out in Red and Blue, you’re about to get your first taste at 6 p.m. on Nov. 21 at Arizona Stadium. Our Stadium.
“Tell them… tell the team to BEAR DOWN.”
by Scott Terrell on Nov.18, 2009, under Sports
Low-Cal: Notes and bowl projections with a touch of bizarre
Are you over the Cal loss yet? Me neither. Let’s mope together.
In the first quarter Arizona had two possessions, two first downs, and zero points. So much for a fast start to get a struggling Bear team to quit early.
Since we (rightfully) treated WSU like a scrimmage we had three weeks to prepare for Cal. The new wrinkle on offense was an odd one – splitting Chris Gronk out wide and using him as the motion man. Not only did it eliminate the threat of handing off to a wide receiver, it also made Gronk run 15 yards before getting ready to block on running plays.
To top it off, on the one tricky play we were setting up all game – C.Gronk going in motion and running deep down the sideline – Foles missed him. Back to the wrinkle drawing board.
Remember last year’s Cal game when we turned the game around with 28 third-quarter points? This year the UA opened the second half with five straight three-and-outs. Washington State’s offense wasn’t that bad.
The Wildcat defense didn’t give up a touchdown until midway through the third quarter and even then it took a 14-yard punt to set it up. We’re still waiting for the offense and defense to show up in the same non-scrimmage-like game.
Give Matt Scott credit. He came in after the fifth three-and-out, did what he does best, ended the first-down drought and got the team started on a TD drive. I hope we continue to use Scott’s legs to shake things up when they need a good shaking.
Rule of thumb: You don’t want fewer points than your ranking if you want to stay ranked.
How hard did Cal try to give this game away? Riley’s Longshore-esque interceptions, going for two too early, a pass interference penalty on 2nd-and-17, another PI on 3rd-and-12, and missing the final extra point in an eight-point game. But nobody out-Arizonas Arizona. Which brings us to…
- Turn a 15-yard loss into a nine-yard gain
Not a three-yard loss. Not a seven-yard loss. Fifteen. Now that’s some poor tackling. The Cal player was so far behind the line of scrimmage even Jim Marshall was embarrassed. - Forget the rules of football
What would it take to top the double pass? Trying to throw the ball through the uprights for three points? Running a bootleg with the ball stuffed in your pants? I probably shouldn’t give them any ideas. But I do know this: Nick Foles is undefeated in games decided by fewer than one extremely bizarre play.
Cal only loses to USC and OSU at home. USC only loses to Stanford at home. You think they’ll let us borrow the Tree for December 5?
If you were using your TWIT-Pac decoder ring you knew once we lost to Cal it was OK to root against ASU, so at least we have that. Sure enough the Ducks put a beating on the Devils to get back to their winning ways, just in time to face our guys.
Stanford provided the blueprint for stopping Oregon: You don’t. Not a single Pac-10 team has held the Masoli-led Ducks below 42 points. That means we need six touchdowns just to stay in the game. Zendejas shouldn’t even bother warming up.
Here are the updated bowl projections (assuming the favorite wins each game), if you dare…
| Team | Overall | Pac-10 | Remaining Wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon | 10-2 | 8-1 | UA, OSU |
| Stanford | 9-3 | 7-2 | Cal, ND |
| USC | 9-3 | 6-3 | UCLA, UA |
| OSU | 8-4 | 6-3 | WSU |
| Cal | 8-4 | 5-4 | UW |
| ARIZONA | 7-5 | 5-4 | ASU |
| UCLA | 6-6 | 3-6 | ASU |
| UW | 4-8 | 3-6 | WSU |
| ASU | 4-8 | 2-7 | none |
| WSU | 1-11 | 0-9 | none |
The big winner this past week was obviously Stanford who is now in the driver’s seat for the Holiday Bowl. Not a bad splash for your first postseason appearance in eight years.
The big loser over the weekend was Your Frustrating Arizona Wildcats. From the top 20 to battling UCLA for the Poinsettia Bowl.
But, hey, that’s nothing a big upset victory can’t fix.
by Scott Terrell on Nov.16, 2009, under Sports
Nobody’s Home: Cats fail at Cal but will try Door #2
We’ve been here before.
Let’s do it again.
Why can’t we just lose like normal teams? When it comes to big games Arizona doesn’t do “Their QB just caught fire and there was nothing we could do” losses or “They were simply the better team” losses. No, it has to be something you’ve never seen before. Around here, once-in-a-lifetime plays happen every other year.
Foot Game, meet the Double-Pass Game. As if our armoire of traumatizing memoirs wasn’t already full.
In the grand scheme of things this loss doesn’t change anything. The team still controls its own fate for the league championship while at the same time being right on pace for the 7-5 season we hoped for in August. Losing at Cal doesn’t change any of that, but that’s the point. We wanted this game to change things.
We wanted a team that was going to rise to the occasion and play its best ball when the stakes were highest. We wanted a team of destiny that was going to take advantage of all the good fortune going on around us.
The extraordinary excitement leading up to this game wasn’t so much because of something the Wildcats did as it was because of what was going on everywhere else. If USC was undefeated and in the top five we wouldn’t have thought twice about being 4-2 in league play. But USC has three losses, Cal has three losses and Oregon has lost twice. OSU and Stanford waited until after losing to us to get red hot. We are getting every needed break. But breaks don’t mean you have a better team.
So why the doom and gloom? Because there are two sides to the equation. One is being in a position to win a championship. The other is having a team good enough to do so. We knew the Cats wouldn’t be eliminated with a loss at Cal, but we knew this was a measuring stick game, and Arizona didn’t measure up.
Does this mean we shun the team the rest of the way? Of course not. You don’t stop loving your dad when you discover he isn’t Superman. You’re just sad for a while.
The Wildcats didn’t roll over after the Washington loss and they won’t roll over now. You wish you were going into the Oregon game on a Stanford-like roll but we are what we are, and that’s still allergic to success.
The program hasn’t yet learned how to play from in front. We had our first chance with the yellow jersey but instead of riding like Lance Armstrong we rode like…uh…a cyclist other than Lance Armstrong.
So we find ourselves back in a familiar role: middle-of-the-standings, unranked underdog with a top team coming to town for a game on network TV. Thus knocketh opportunity a second time.
We found Nick Foles behind Door #2. Maybe we can find late-season magic there too.
Do you believe? Do you even want to believe? The bigger the dreams the harder they fall. Do we ignore the Cal game, focus on the “Win three and we’re in” mantra and dive heart-first into the Oregon showdown, or do we scale hopes back to 7-5 and prepare for the worst on Saturday?
I’m not going to decide. Conference champions win games like this, but 7-5 teams can too. I’m going to go to GameDay. I’m going to participate in the Red Out. Not because it’s the first step in a miraculous run toward a dream, but because my team is playing at home and we can win a really big game.
We’ll worry about scenarios and expectations again next week. This week is about packing the Stadium, making a ton of noise, and storming the field.
So, yes, I want a little zing in my zang-zang.
by Scott Terrell on Nov.12, 2009, under Sports
This Week In The Pac-10, Week 11: In the market for miracles
Anyone got a couple miracles they can spare?
The Cats, as usual, can help their cause by winning but the biggest gains are to be found in rooting for the biggest upsets.
Stanford (6-3 / 5-2) at USC (7-2 / 4-2) – 1:30 PM (all times Arizona/Mountain), FSN
The game of the week. Winner stays alive in the conference race. Loser wallows among the bottom bowls. Please let USC do the wallowing…
Who do we root for?
Stanford. A lot. We already own the head-to-head tiebreaker with the Cardinal and we want USC to fall as far and as fast as possible.
Washington (3-6 / 2-4) at OSU (6-3 / 4-2) – 1:30 PM, FSNNW
The Huskies have lost five of six. You don’t even want to think about their one win.
Who do we root for?
Unknown. That’s right, TWIT-Pac is stumped. The problem is it depends on the result of the USC/Stanford game. If the Cardinal wins we want OSU to win to keep the four-way tiebreaker alive. But if the Trojans take care of business we want the Beavers to stay below us in the bowl pecking order. Of course, the two games are played at the same time. At least the UW/OSU game isn’t on TV in Arizona so we don’t have to watch in ambivalence.
UCLA (4-5 / 1-5) at WSU (1-8 / 0-6) – 3 PM, Fox CS
I don’t know what Fox CS is. Fox CSI would make more sense with Wazzu involved.
Who do we root for?
WSU. A loss knocks UCLA out of bowl contention and, as we learned we should be disliking the Bruins every chance we get.
ARIZONA (6-2 / 4-1) at Cal (6-3 / 3-3) – 5 PM, Versus
How will the Cats handle their first road game since the Inaccurate Deflection? Will the Bears be inspired by the play of their second-Best running back?
Who do we root for?
Your Keep-Hope-Alive Wildcats. The Oregon game next week is huge no matter what happens but a UA win this week opens up a lot more options.
ASU (4-5 / 2-4) at Oregon (7-2 / 5-1) – 8:20 PM, ABC
Will the Devils find magic with a quarterback named Oz? At 6-8 he’s no Munchkin.
Whose victory would best help Arizona?
ASU. This the last week, I promise. Just repeat after me: Alone in first place…Alone in first place…
Five Pac-10 games this week and four of them have a direct bearing on the conference race. That’s what you call a fine college football league.
So, yeah, we’re asking for USC, Oregon and Cal to all lose at home on the same day.
No one ever said this miracle stuff was easy.
by Scott Terrell on Nov.11, 2009, under Sports
I Love Boring: WSU, Cal and updated bowl projections
I apologize for the interruption. Where were we?
Oh yeah: Now that’s the kind of game I like. But I had someone tell me on Sunday how boring the Washington State game was. The stream of red shirts heading to the exit at halftime agreed. Are we spoiled already? Have we forgotten 38-0, 45-0 and 59-13, when the big numbers were on the wrong side of the scoreboard?
Give me boring any day if it means my team is a huge favorite and it plays like a huge favorite.
Opening the game with a kickoff return touchdown is how you get it done when you’re expected to win by 30 points. Starting the game with a total yard advantage of 179-4 is another way. Scoring 31 points before giving up a first down is another.
On to more notes out the Wazzu:
It was great to see Nic Grigsby wearing his jersey and leading the team out onto the field before the game. It’ll be better when he’s back creating fireworks during the game.
We did have our #2 ball-carrier available and Keola Antolin looked to be at full speed. The Flyin’ Hawaiian even put on an air show at the goal line.
We used the all-hair backfield! Nick Foles, Taimi Tutogi and Keola Antolin formed one shaggy I.
Then, to mix it up, Tutogi got some carries himself. Just in case you were wondering who our
fifth-string running back is.
Speaking of hair, Brooks Reed played, recorded a sack, and didn’t limp off the field. That’s the triple crown for our defense.
Earl Mitchell came oh-so-close to intercepting that pass in the flat. Watching him rumble down the sideline with the ball would’ve been just like old times, only with 50 more pounds.
Can we please have Matt Scott run just one old-school, two-hands-on-the-ball, end-over-end-backhand-pitch option play? Ronnie Veal and my Wildcat memories would appreciate it.
Happiness is clinching tacos in the first half.
Was Wilbur trying to show his age at halftime or was that his pimpin’ cane?
I was happy to see walk-on kickoff guy, John Bonano, get to kick an extra point. It was like David Bagga hitting a three. Maybe Bonano will write a book about it.
How is the SEC the best conference when their championship game match-up is decided with three weeks left? We’re here trying to figure out how to break a four-way tie and the SEC has already booked their ‘Bama/’Da championship game. Yawn.
Here are the updated Pac-10 standings projections. Remember, the following is based on the favorite winning every game.
| Team | Overall | Pac-10 | Remaining Wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon | 10-2 | 8-1 | ASU, UA, OSU |
| USC | 10-2 | 7-2 | Stan, UCLA, UA |
| ARIZONA | 8-4 | 6-3 | Cal, ASU |
| OSU | 8-4 | 6-3 | UW, WSU |
| Stanford | 8-4 | 6-3 | Cal, ND |
| Cal | 7-5 | 4-5 | UW |
| UCLA | 6-6 | 3-6 | WSU, ASU |
| UW | 4-8 | 3-6 | WSU |
| ASU | 4-8 | 2-7 | none |
| WSU | 1-11 | 0-9 | none |
I’m not comfortable being a road favorite but thus spake the gambling guys. And, Nose Hole aside, suddenly Arizona has to keep winning just to keep pace with OSU and Stanford.
If the above comes to pass and both Oregon and USC make BCS bowls, who does the Holiday Bowl pick between UA, OSU and Stanford? The Cardinal would be coming in having won four of five so I’ll go with them. That would leave the Cats for the Sun, OSU to the Emerald, Cal to Vegas and UCLA squeaking into the Poinsettia.
Last year I would have fallen all over myself to sign up for that. Not this year. It’s time to let it ride.
There’s something about the Arizona/Cal rivalry. The all-time series is tied at 13-13-2 and the loser of the game always seems to be the team with the most at stake. In 2006 the 4-5 Wildcats kept Cal from the conference championship. We all know what the 5-4 Bears did to us in 1993. So, yes, it’s not a good sign that we’re the team a half-game out of first.
I hope no one thinks this game became a gimme when Jahvid Best went down. His backup, Shane Vareen, has more touchdowns this year (8) than anyone on the UA roster. Their third-string guy averages seven yards a carry. The Bears will still have plenty of firepower.
On top of that it’s just not easy to win on the road. When you’re looking for the best conference road wins this year it’s a short list. The candidates are UA over OSU, USC over Cal, and OSU over Cal.
That’s it. And don’t get excited because Cal is on there twice. You know the last time the Bears lost two in a row at home? 2002, Jeff Tedford’s first year. That’s right, you have to go all the way back to the team that lost to the Mackovic Mutineers.
Let’s hope this game doesn’t make us long for boring.
by Scott Terrell on Nov.09, 2009, under Sports
Knock-Knock: Mike Stoops prepares for his first chance at greatness
Now that’s the kind of game I— Hold on, let me get the door.
Hello, Opportunity.
Here we are. We have been waiting for this week and this game. Now we find out just how good this team really is.
The good news is the question hasn’t been answered yet. The season wasn’t going to be won in the first eight games but it certainly could have been lost.
2009 is not lost. The Wildcats did what they needed to do to get to this point in one piece. They won a Pac-10 road game. They won their first five home games, including three consecutive league games.
Don’t just brush that off. They did it. That’s big news! For the first time in Mike Stoops’ tenure the Cats are not going to have an inexcusable loss at home. And when you beat the bad teams at the beginning of the year your games with the good teams mean a lot more at the end of the year.
Isn’t it fun to be scoreboard watching in November? Wasn’t it exciting after our game to have everyone from the head coach to the guy in the last row of the upper deck wanting to keep tabs on the Oregon game?
Oregon beats USC, Stanford beats Oregon, and Arizona keeps winning. To quote the great military strategist John “Hannibal” Smith: “I love it when a plan comes together.”
Only one team failed to hold up its end of the perfect-weekend bargain. Yes, I’m talking to you, Arizona State. If the Sun Devils had found a way to score six more points it would have dropped our USC game into same category as the Cal and ASU games. But as it stands we still need the head-to-head tie-breaker against every potential two-loss team, so both the Oregon and USC games remain must-win.
Obviously we want to beat Cal this Saturday. There’s a winning season at stake and you always want to keep momentum this time of year. But since we got a little help from our friends the Cats have a loss to play with. A mulligan. One press of the reset button.
It eases the tension for one more week. There won’t be do-or-die pressure hanging over the team. The dream will not die in Berkeley. Win or lose the Cats will play the home game against Oregon still alive for the—
I can’t say it. Being this close I can’t bring myself to type the two-word phrase that simultaneously excites and torments the Arizona Football fan. Let’s just say it rhymes with “Nose Hole.”
This is historic stuff. The Wildcats will be going into the tenth game of the season still controlling their own destiny for the Pac-10 championship. Has that ever happened before?
Remember, the 1998 UCLA loss was barely in game six. The Oregon loss in 1994 (the 10-9 score) was in game eight. Everyone remembers the Cal loss in the penultimate game of ’93 but UCLA’s second loss came that same day so the Cats never regained destinal control after the loss to the Bruins in game eight.
The eighth game was also the end of the line in 1986 and 1983. Arizona stayed in the driver’s seat until the ninth game in both 1989 (one-point Cal loss) and 1985 (five-point UCLA loss).
What does this teach us? We don’t hate UCLA nearly enough. But you know the team that’s not on the list? ASU. It’s true; Arizona has never even made it to the final game of the regular season with the Pac-10 championship in its grasp. There’s a reason ASU fans never brag about the times they’ve knocked us out of the Nose Hole.
They might just get their chance this year.
Opportunity is indeed knocking for the first time at the door of Mike Stoops. The assumption is if you can get to this point once you can do it again but you never know. You never want to go out on anything less than your best shot, and our best shot is a home game on November 21.
Can the Stoops-led Cats handle it? In his first five years Stoops has shown he can beat really good teams as the underdog. For the first time we’ll see how he performs against the high-end teams as a potential peer. How his team performs in the “free” game at Cal will be a pretty good indicator.
Please come in, Opportunity. We’ve missed you.
by Scott Terrell on Nov.05, 2009, under Sports
This Week In The Pac-10, Week 10: Cats looking for first-place help
TWIT-Pac doesn’t want to fight any more. Let’s go back to the way it was when we didn’t have much and we lived on love.
WSU (1-7 / 0-5) at ARIZONA (5-2 / 3-1) – 1:30 PM (all times Arizona/Mountain), KWBA
The Cats have only played two games since the heartbreaker at Washington. Doesn’t it seem like ages ago? The games will come fast and furious from here on out.
Who do we root for?
Your Arizona Wildcats. Gotta make the playoffs. Gotta make the playoffs…
Oregon (7-1 / 5-0) at Stanford (5-3 / 4-2) – 1:30 PM, FSN
Oregon has been the talk of the college football world all week. Now they try and keep it up on the road. You think we could get the Stanford offense that came through Tucson to show up for this one?
Who do we root for?
Stanford. A Cardinal win gives us one free loss in our quest for The Big Prize.
Washington (3-5 / 2-4) at UCLA (3-5 / 0-5) – 1:30 PM
This is a bowl elimination game. Both teams are in bad shape but the winner gets to keep dreaming for another week.
Who do we root for?
UW. The Huskies have a tougher schedule the rest of the way so let’s put a fork in the Bruins.
OSU (5-3 / 3-2) at Cal (6-2 / 3-2) – 5 PM, FSN
The Beavers play the Washington schools back-to-back after this so a win here could get them on a nice roll.
Who do we root for?
OSU. Arizona already has to play at Cal in their seniors’ final home game. We don’t need to also have the Bears on a four-game winning streak.
USC (6-2 / 3-2) at ASU (4-4 / 2-3) – 6 PM, ABC
Can Pete Carroll get his team motivated to work toward earning “only” a BCS at-large bid?
Who do we root for?
Sorry, I said no fighting this week. Let me try that again….
Whose victory would best help Arizona?
ASU. I know it’s hard for true-blue (-and-red) Wildcat fans to root for ASU. It may even be impossible. I’ll admit as I was watching the end of their game last week I couldn’t bring myself to want the Sun Devil defense to stop Cal. Even though I knew a Bear loss was best for Arizona’s spot in the league standings, deep down inside I wanted Cal to make that game-winning field goal.
Although we would enjoy it if the Devils got humiliated on network TV this weekend, it’s best for the big UA picture if ASU pulls off the upset and keeps USC from backing into a three-way tie for the conference championship. Just think how great it would be to see the Cats playing in a better bowl game than USC.
Obviously, the only result that truly matters from a Wildcat’s perspective is Arizona beating Wazzu to get to 4-1 and keep The Dream alive. But if Stanford can shock the Ducks it would create a scenario where literally half the conference is within one loss of first place. Wouldn’t that be fun?
Unfortunately the Duck/Cardinal game will be on while we’re busy homecoming it up at the Stadium. But I know the cell phones will be clicking and the stands will be humming with score updates.
Maybe we’ll get to celebrate two big wins together.
by Scott Terrell on Nov.04, 2009, under Sports
New Era? UA football’s ranking above UA hoops is rare
Is it basketball season yet?
No, seriously. It’s an honest question. We’ve been kind of busy with that other sport.
It turns out the hoops season has in fact begun. The Red-Blue scrimmage is behind us (and – good news – the official site says we won) and the regular season is just around the corner.
Are you ready? Have you memorized the heights and weights of all the new players? Do you have your scouting report ready for when NAU comes to town on November 15?
Me neither.
Don’t get me wrong; I love Wildcat Basketball. I live (March 31, 1997) and die (March 26, 2005) with the Hoops Cats just as much as with their gridiron brethren. I can’t wait to see the start of the Sean Miller Era.
Actually, scratch that. This year I can wait.
It’s a strange feeling. For years and years basketball was the relief Arizona Wildcat fans needed. Every time Coach Tomey/Mackovic/Hankwitz/Stoops let us down Coach Olson was there to pick us up.
But things are a little different in 2009. Arizona Basketball is rebuilding with untested freshman and Arizona Football is in the Top 25.
When’s the last time that happened? I’m glad you asked. And thanks to this tremendous site I can give you the answer. The last time the UA hoops team started the season ranked lower in the AP poll than the Wildcat football team was the 1998-’99 season. On November 9, 1998 the footballers were #9 while the basketball team checked in at #18 in the preseason poll.
The 2009 football team has a long way to go but if the Cats can somehow stay in the Top 25 they stand a good chance of finishing the season ranked higher than Arizona Basketball for the first time since that ’98-’99 season. That year our football squad finished with a school record #4 ranking while the hoopsters finished a measly #13.
Now, the real question, one that will stretch your Wildcat memory: When was the last time the Arizona football team was ranked and the Arizona basketball team was not? Go ahead and guess. Oh come on, it’s no fun if you don’t guess.
You ready for this?
On December 2, 1986 the football team was ranked #16 and the basketball team was #20. In the following football poll, released January 4, 1987, the FootCats were #11 to finish the season (after our first ever bowl win) but by then the BasketCats had dropped out of the poll.
That 1987 basketball team finished the season unranked but Lute Olson’s Wildcats went on to finish in the Top 25 each of the next 18 years. During that span the football team made the final AP poll just four times.
Are the tables about to turn? Is Arizona Football ready to carry the flag for the UA athletic department? Or is this just a football mirage before Sean Miller rules this town?
OR…are we about to enter an unprecedented era when both programs are able to sustain success at a national level?
If it’s that final option I definitely can’t wait.
by Scott Terrell on Nov.01, 2009, under Sports
Good-Bye, Bye: Bowl projections as the Cats hit the home stretch
Rest time is over. The final bye week has passed for both players and fans. The stretch run is officially here, and Arizona is right in the thick of things.
Five games in five weeks, each with significance: Bowl eligibility. A winning season. The best team in the conference. The Territorial Cup. The league standard.
Are you ready for this? The entire spectrum of possibilities is out there, from a losing season to the Rose Bowl and everything in between. The year could end in ecstasy, or it could end in outrage.
Speaking of outrage, let me help you with that Oregon/USC comment:
Are you happy now, DUCK LOVER?!?? Not only are we not in first place but now Oregon is the greatest rushing team since the ’95 HUSKERS. We are going to get KILLED!!!!exclamationpoints!!
Yeah, I certainly didn’t expect that game to end in a blowout. But a couple things: 1) If I have to play the ’95 Huskers I’d rather do it at home, and 2) Oregon has just as many Pac-10 championships as we do over the past eight years. We’ll have to see how well the bull’s-eye fits on their outrageous uniforms.
I used my bye week to track down my crystal ball and see what the rest of the season has in store. Here’s what the Pac-10 bowl picture will look like if the favorite wins every remaining game (when in doubt I went with the home team):
| Team | Overall | Pac-10 | Remaining Wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon | 11-1 | 9-0 | Stan, ASU, UA, OSU |
| USC | 10-2 | 7-2 | ASU, Stan, UCLA, UA |
| Cal | 9-3 | 6-3 | OSU, UA, UW |
| ARIZONA | 7-5 | 5-4 | WSU, ASU |
| OSU | 7-5 | 5-4 | UW, WSU |
| Stanford | 7-5 | 5-4 | Cal, ND |
| UCLA | 6-6 | 3-6 | UW, WSU, ASU |
| UW | 4-8 | 3-6 | WSU |
| ASU | 4-8 | 2-7 | none |
| WSU | 1-11 | 0-9 | none |
A couple more things: 1) As bad as UCLA has been you can’t yet eliminate them from the bowl competition because they still play the three other teams in the dump competition. 2) It was a lot of fun writing “none” next to Arizona State.
If these are in fact the final standings the bowl scenarios are pretty clear. The Emerald Bowl has the fourth pick so Stanford would be staying in the Bay Area. I believe the Vegas Bowl would want to avoid a repeat so they would take Oregon State leaving Arizona with the Poinsettia Bowl in San Diego.
However, if Oregon and USC both win out the Pac-10 stands a really good chance of finally getting two teams into BCS bowls. If it happens and Cal gets bumped up to the Holiday Bowl I think the Sun Bowl takes Arizona over OSU and Stanford due to proximity and length of time since our last appearance.
Now, we all know things aren’t going to play out exactly according to the script. There are upsets out there and we wouldn’t watch the games without them. Some teams aren’t going to play nice when they face the big boys. Let’s hope Arizona is one of them.
The reality is every single Pac-10 bowl is still in play for the UA – as is making no bowl at all. Your Top-Teens Wildcats have done a great job of getting to this point with a lot of options intact, but they still haven’t locked up anything.
If you look at it like the NFL this is the last week of the regular season. The Wildcats are fighting for a wild card spot and they’re playing the team with the #1 pick in the draft. Arizona is expecting to make the playoffs but you have to win the game. It doesn’t matter how well you planned on playing against the good teams in the postseason if you don’t beat the bad team to make the tournament.
Just because I called for us to be conservative personnel-wise against Washington State doesn’t mean I think we should use a conservative game plan. If I’m Mr. Dykes I would call an up-the-middle run (with Nick Booth) on my first snap, and then I would go no-huddle until the game was out of reach. Put Foles in the shotgun, give him three- and four-wide sets and let him pick Wazzu apart.
I don’t want to play any injured players but I want the guys out there to play aggressively. I definitely want the coaches to coach aggressively. Go for it on fourth-and-short. Blitz on third-and-long. Have a trick play ready, just in case. Attack, attack, attack. We have bowl eligibility to secure and a homecoming crowd to entertain.
It’s time to make the playoffs.
by Scott Terrell on Oct.29, 2009, under Sports
This Week In The Pac-10, Week 9: Why we want Oregon to win
Ooo, a little controversy in the TWIT-Pac….
Cal (5-2 / 2-2) at ASU (4-3 / 2-2) – 12:30 PM (all times Arizona/Pacific), ABC
The Bears went from six points in two games to 94 points in two games. It helps to start playing the bad teams.
Who do we root for?
ASU. Hold on…. OK, now that my head didn’t explode I can explain. Over the next three weeks the Devils play the three ranked Pac teams not named Arizona. If ASU could somehow pull an upset along the way it would help us move up the standings, even if cheering for them makes us ill.
UCLA (3-4 / 0-4) at OSU (4-3 / 2-2) – 1 PM
The Bruins seemed like a lock for bowl eligibility in September. Since then they’ve lost their keys.
Who do we root for?
UCLA. Same rationale as above. The Beavers are still in contention for a solid bowl game.
WSU (1-6 / 0-5) at Notre Dame (5-2) – 4:30 PM, NBC
This game is in San Antonio. That’s a long way to go to lose.
Who do we root for?
ND. I would be 100% pulling for the Cougars…if they didn’t play the Wildcats next week. We don’t need them going to the Alamo and remembering how to play winning football.
USC (6-1 / 3-1) at Oregon (6-1 / 4-0) – 5 PM, ABC
The Ducks took Game of the Year status from Cal early on. Are they ready to live up to it?
Who do we root for?
The University of Oregon.
Let me save you the effort of writing your venomous comment:
Hey, IDIOT! We want SECOND PLACE to beat FIRST PLACE so we can be in FIRST PLACE!!!!!!11
I get the math. I know logic says when your team has one loss you want the other 3-1 team to beat the 4-0 team so you can all be tied in the loss column. But that isn’t just any 3-1 team.
Make no mistake; Southern California is the best team in the conference until they are eliminated from the Rose Bowl race. I want them to lose as early and as often as possible.
I know this isn’t a popular opinion. There is a real good argument for wanting USC to win this week in that it allows for the possibility of Arizona winning the championship with two conference losses.
The problem is there’s no plausible scenario that gets the Cats to the Promised Land without beating USC in L.A. on December 5. After leaving Eugene the Trojans play at ASU, then finish with consecutive home games against Stanford, UCLA and Arizona.
The bottom line is this: If USC goes into Autzen and beats the Ducks they aren’t going to lose again.
Last year the Trojans lost their third game of the year, on the road, in their Pac-10 opener, the week after beating Ohio State. That was their final loss. This year’s defeat came under the exact same circumstances. My fear is they’re working on a sequel.
Would you rather face a 9-1 Chip Kelly team at home, or a 10-1 Pete Carroll team on the road? I want nothing to do with USC when there’s BCS-championship-game blood in the water.
Bonus reason to want a Duck victory: A 10-2 Oregon could easily get passed over for an at-large BCS bowl bid. A 10-2 USC team would not. The Pac-10 stands to make more money this year with USC as the #2 team.
Of course, the dream of all dream scenarios is Oregon beating USC then losing at Stanford the following week. That way if the Cats beat WSU we go into the Cal game tied for first, with USC in third.
I want USC’s national championship dreams to end. I want the Trojans to lose their biggest carrot. I want Carroll to have to answer questions about why his team “failed” again this year.
I know there’s a ton of football to be played. I realize Cal could drop an atom bomb on our postseason dreams. But we’re not playing Cal this week. We’re not even playing Washington State this week. Arizona can’t lose on Saturday so our dreams can’t die, and I’m going to root for the result that best helps those dreams along.
Go Ducks.
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