Tucson Citizen.com

Elimination Game: Who will be Pac-10 Football’s ultimate Survivor?

by on Sep. 08, 2010, under Sports

Nick Foles and the Cats are hoping for Immunity.
Photo by Rick Osentoski/US Presswire

A blowout victory on national TV, a bunch of positive press, and a shiny new top-25 ranking. It’s been a good week for the Arizona Wildcats. But how do they stack up against the rest of the Pac-10?

We’re going to do something different this year. With so many Pac teams arguing they can make a run at the conference crown we’re going to narrow down the list of contenders each week Survivor-style. Sometimes it’ll be a mathematical elimination and sometimes it’ll just be common sense saying a team is done.

I will also attempt to put the remaining contenders in order. This won’t be a power ranking that looks at what each team has accomplished. It’s going to be a forward-looking guess at the teams with the best chance of making it to Pasadena when you consider record, remaining schedule and, yes, talent.

Think of it like a driver’s starting position in NASCAR. The polesitter doesn’t always win the race but he’s got a head start. Ladies and gentlemen, start your engines.

1. Oregon
2. Stanford
3. ARIZONA
4. Oregon State
5. Cal
6. Washington
7. Arizona State
8. UCLA
9. Washington State
10. USC

The Ducks provided 72 reasons why they will be the favorite until they lose. Arizona, OSU and Stanford make up the next grouping due to having an extra home game among fellow contenders. The Beavers’ quarterback looked like a rookie against TCU so they get the four slot, and the Arizona/Stanford game is in Palo Alto so the Cardinal gets to carry the early runner-up banner.

As far as those voted off the island, USC was disqualified before the game even began. Wazzu fumbled away the first snap of the season against Oklahoma State and two plays later the Cougars established a deficit they would not overcome. Maybe next year.

- – - – -

More thoughts from the Toldeo game…

One of the questions heading into the season was how the Wildcats’ offense would navigate the red zone. In the season opener the six red zone possessions looked like this:

-Antolin run, Douglas corner route
-Completion short of the goal line, incomplete Criner fade, QB keeper
-Two short passes, Grigsby in from the 1
-The INT off Tutogi’s hands
-Three short Scott completions including Antolin TD
-Taking a knee at the Toledo 5

That’s three of four under Foles and four of five when the Cats were trying, all with touchdowns. The early indication is the UA is going to use both the run and the pass instead of just trying to pound it in, with the hope of taking advantage of Foles’ ability to throw it into the corner as much as possible.

I was very happy to see Matt Scott get the opportunity to throw the ball in the 4th quarter instead of just running out the clock. For the record I’m in favor of considering redshirting Scott next year to start him as a senior in 2012. I don’t expect it to actually happen but I would give it a serious look.

Here’s the entire list of things that didn’t go well last Friday night:

-The run game
Take out Grigsby’s breakaway run and the top two backs only had 30 yards on 12 carries (2.5 yard average). Not what was expected with a senior-heavy offensive line.

-Penalties
Eight for 48 yards. That’s not a ton of yardage but it’s more than we’re used to seeing from the Cats, and Toledo’s only points came as a result of a yellow flag.

-Long-snapping
True freshman Chase Gorham was shaky all night and caused one failed PAT.

That’s it. You can write off the penalties and extra point woes to first-game jitters, so that leaves the rushing attack as the main point of emphasis over the next two weeks.

The name of the game against The Citadel (they get a capitalized definite article like The Situation) is precision. Know what you want to accomplish, be where you’re supposed to be, execute the plays, and move on to Iowa.

Most importantly, this weekend is the first of three straight Saturdays with a home game, then there’s a bye week, and then another home game. I hope you’ve got your tailgating game face on.



  • fraser007

    Ok I know we are supposed to beat Citadel. Are they a “trap” game like San Jose State or a close call several years ago by North Texas State Green Machine. Are the Wildcats a much better team than those in the past (yes we are).
    I just feel bad beating up on a college where the grads will be in the military serving our naton. If you check out their website and see how many of their grads have been killed in combat in Iraq….. or during WWII (hundreds) it will pause you.
    I will never have any bad feelings beating ASU or the California schools or any PAC 10 team….NO.  If you are at the game say something nice to a Citadel booster or buy him a soda, after the school is out his son is probably going someplace your kid will not want to. Just a thought.

    • http://uasports.net Scott Terrell

      The Cats will be fine in the home opener.  I think the Cal game is a potential trap. Everyone has been pointing to the Iowa game all summer and Cal is getting zero mention as even a Pac-10 sleeper.

      I agree 100% on The Citadel.  Save the venom for the rest of the schedule.  This Saturday should be about showing respect to some young men who will be serving us all when they graduate.

      • fraser007

        Thanks Scott. Pass the word.

  • wildcatfight83

    I agree that Oregon has to be the favorite right now.  But I do wonder if people are reading too much into the 72-0 beat down of New Mexico.  I remember a game a couple years back where a certain team won 70-0 at home, then lost to New Mexico on the road two games later.  That team ended up losing 5.  I don’t think Oregon will lose 5 games, but I also don’t think that that game actually means all that much.
    Arizona needs to take advantage of this homestand.  A win over Iowa would be great, but wins over Cal and OSU (who we haven’t beaten in Tucson since the ice age) are by far the most important.
    But what Unis should we go with this week?  I think we need to go patriotic and have a 1 blue item, 1 red item and 1 white item.

    • http://uasports.net Scott Terrell

      The Cats tend to go simple in games against FCS teams so I think we’ll see white helmets, blue jerseys and white pants.  But you’re right, 9/11 needs some red too!  Give me white helmets, blue jerseys and red pants for something new.

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