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AG's Wildcat Report - Dispatches on the Wildcats, from Anthony Gimino

Five picks for the first round of the NCAA Tournament

by on Mar. 18, 2010, under Sports

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Not for Arizona, but there is still basketball to play, including two days of glorious first-round action in the NCAA Tournament.

Without the Cats to cover, this would have been a good time to fulfill that dream of spending the first round in a sports book in Las Vegas, but we’ll just have to settle for some virtual gambling this time around.

So here are five five-star locks:

New Mexico State (plus 13.5) vs. Michigan State, Friday. The Aggies are legit. This is a team of athletic, 3-point gunners that didn’t reach full strength until forward Troy Gillenwater returned from academic ineligibility in early February. Starting forward Wendell McKines was out until mid-December because of academic problems, another reason why the Aggies overall record is only 22-11. If NMSU shows some gumption on the boards, it will easily keep this one close.

Louisville vs. Cal (pick ‘em), Friday. All things being equal, take the team from the Big East. Louisville beat Syracuse twice, Cal beat … uh, Cal beat … we’ll get back to you on that. It doesn’t help that Bears’ starting forward Omondi Amoke was suspended Wednesday and won’t play in the first round.

Richmond (minus 2) vs. Saint Mary’s, Thursday. Saint Mary’s has the size inside, but Richmond has the excellent guard combo of Kevin Anderson and David Gonzalvez (which only looks like a typo). Plus, it’s a long trip to Providence, R.I., for a game that tips off about noon Pacific Time.

Texas A&M (minus 3) vs. Utah State, Friday. Utah State is one of the best-coached teams in the West, and these Aggies, as usual, shoot as well from everywhere as any team in the country. But there is a reason why they have had a hard time getting out of the first round, and that’s athleticism, which the Aggies from Texas A&M, led by guard Donald Sloan, have.

UTEP (plus 2.5) vs. Butler, Thursday. Too bad this is a first-round game, because each team could make a Sweet 16 run with the right path. Only one will, knocking off the Vanderbilt-Murray State winner in the second round. The Miners’ size and strength inside will carry the day.



  • DWINS

    Anthony, I agree with all of your picks except for New Mexico State.  Their defense is one of the worst in the nation.  They’re going to get waxed!

    • Anthony Gimino

      True, the Aggies have not been very committed to playing defense and they will struggle on the boards against MSU … but when you’re picking a 13-point ‘dog, you’re hoping a team will be able to overcome its flaws with its strengths.

  • vegasallen

    UNLV crashes and burns against Nothern Iowa. Some of the better handicappers were on that. Another game that they were on was Robert Morris getting 18 points. If not for questionable calls they would have won outright.

    As a Lorenzo Romar basher, I’m surprised that Washington advances but I still say he has top 10 talent. They certainly have a decent chance to win their next game.  Don’t be surprised to see Montana give 3rd seeded New Mexico a rough time.

    • Anthony Gimino

      With my 0-2 start on Thursday, I’m reminded again of why I (almost) never bet. Everyone seemed to be on Murray State, an outright underdog winner over Vanderbilt, so that was a good trend. As I expected, Saint Mary’s was big-time on the boards against Richmond … I just didn’t expect the edge to be so great (40-17). With the size up front, could the Gaels beat Villanova in the second round?