For many years the media have attempted to scare us with scenarios of disaster from abrupt climate change due to global warming.
For those of you who believe that the IPCC is gospel, here is their latest assessment on the probability of disaster from various causes. The graphic below comes from the brand new AR5 report, chapter 12, page 78:
We see for most imagined disasters, the IPCC says they are “exceptionally unlikely,” “very unlikely” or that they have “low confidence” that they will happen.
One other myth, the 2 degree Centigrade rise in temperature that media and government say we must avoid at all costs. Where did the number come from? It was plucked out of thin air, as the University of East Anglia’s Phil Jones inadvertently admitted in Climategate 2.0.