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	<title>Wry Heat &#187; extinction</title>
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	<description>by Jonathan DuHamel</description>
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		<title>Book Review- Driven to Extinction by Richard Pearson</title>
		<link>http://tucsoncitizen.com/wryheat/2011/03/09/book-review-driven-to-extinction-by-richard-pearson/</link>
		<comments>http://tucsoncitizen.com/wryheat/2011/03/09/book-review-driven-to-extinction-by-richard-pearson/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Mar 2011 15:23:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jonathan DuHamel</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Book Reviews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[carbon dioxide]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[extinction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[global warming]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pearson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[species]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://tucsoncitizen.com/wryheat/?p=619</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[He should have started with chapter 2. In chapter 1, Pearson invokes the IPCC model scenarios and the contention that human carbon dioxide emissions will produce a temperature rise of somewhere between 2-to 11 degrees F, and that will &#8220;likely&#8221; cause extinction of 20% to 70% of species. There is, however, no physical evidence which [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: justify"><a rel="attachment wp-att-621" href="http://tucsoncitizen.com/wryheat/2011/03/09/book-review-driven-to-extinction-by-richard-pearson/driven-to-extinction-2/"><img class="alignleft size-large wp-image-621" src="http://tucsoncitizen.com/wryheat/files/2011/03/Driven-to-Extinction1-550x830.jpg" alt="" width="310" height="495" /></a>He should have started with chapter 2. In chapter 1, Pearson invokes the IPCC model scenarios and the contention that human carbon dioxide emissions will produce a temperature rise of somewhere between 2-to 11 degrees F, and that will &#8220;likely&#8221; cause extinction of 20% to 70% of species. There is, however, no physical evidence which shows that human carbon dioxide emissions have a significant effect on global temperatures. That being said, let’s imagine that the world will continue to warm, regardless of cause, and examine what the consequences might be.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify">In chapters 2 through 5, Pearson takes the reader on expeditions to Madagascar, Costa Rica, the British Isles, North America, and South Africa where he examines how specific species are reacting to global warming. This is mainly a study of range changes pole-ward and to higher elevations for plants and animals. Some species expand their ranges, some ranges contract, while others are not affected. There are winners and losers. Pearson notes that some amphibians are more susceptible to disease as temperatures &#8220;converge on a range that is just right to promote disease outbreaks.&#8221; He also examines how plants and animals may react to changes in the onset of the seasons (phenology). Pearson notes that there may be some observation bias in these studies and does point out potential problems.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify">I did detect one error in this section. On page 88, Pearson says &#8220;the world’s oceans are gradually turning acidic.&#8221; Not true, the oceans are alkaline, and there is a natural cycle of pH variation within the alkaline range (see my rebuttal <a href="http://tucsoncitizen.com/wryheat/2009/12/14/ocean-acidification-by-carbon-dioxide/"><span style="text-decoration: underline"><span style="color: #0000ff">here</span></span></a>).</p>
<p style="text-align: justify">Chapters 6 through 8 discuss extinction risk modeling and experiments. Pearson fairly points out areas of uncertainty. He also discusses the ability of plants and animals to adapt to changing conditions. Here, too, there are winners and losers. He discusses complicating factors such as habitat loss due to human encroachment. Pearson says, &#8220;we cannot really expect to accurately predict how an ecological community will respond to climate change.&#8221; And, &#8220;climate change has the potential to rearrange species, assembling new communities as plants and animals shift their ranges and adjust their phenology. The consequences of this reshuffling will be alterations to existing interactions between species as well as the creation of novel sets of interactions.&#8221;</p>
<p style="text-align: justify">Chapter 9, entitled, &#8220;Cry Wolf?&#8221; discusses exaggeration of scientific studies by the press, and whether scientists should or should not be political advocates. Pearson does not mention possible scientific bias in the competition for research grants.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify">In the final chapter, Pearson, himself, becomes an advocate for more conservation parks, connectivity between reserves, and for reducing our use of fossil fuels.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify">Pearson’s thesis is that the current warm period is unprecedented due to human emissions of carbon dioxide, and this may cause many adverse effects on plants and animals. He seems unaware that during the last 10,000 years the world  experienced several warm-cold cycles. At least three of the warm cycles were warmer than now and warmer than the high range of IPCC predictions. How did species cope with these changes? Except for extinction of megafauna near the end of the last glacial epoch, an extinction that was abetted by an abrupt cooling period (the Younger Dryas), where are the bodies of victims of global warming from these previous cycles?  Many studies of the fossil record during times when the temperature quickly rose at least 4 degrees C, found changes as Pearson describes in chapters 6 through 8. But those same studies found very little evidence of broad scale extinctions.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify"> In spite of my criticisms of this book, I found it well-written and a very interesting read.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify">About the author: Richard Pearson is Director of Biodiversity Informatics Research at the American Museum of Natural History. He has a PhD. (2004) from Oxford University in biogeography, and is a research scientist in the museum’s department of herpetology.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify">The book was published by the Sterling Publishing Co. Inc.<a rel="attachment wp-att-620" href="http://tucsoncitizen.com/wryheat/2011/03/09/book-review-driven-to-extinction-by-richard-pearson/driven-to-extinction/"></a></p>
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		<title>Arizona Geological History 6, The Cretaceous Period</title>
		<link>http://tucsoncitizen.com/wryheat/2009/10/13/arizona-geological-history-6-the-cretaceous-period/</link>
		<comments>http://tucsoncitizen.com/wryheat/2009/10/13/arizona-geological-history-6-the-cretaceous-period/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 14 Oct 2009 01:00:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jonathan DuHamel</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Geology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Arizona geology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bisbee]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Black Mesa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cintura]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[coal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[comet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cretaceous]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dakota]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dinosaurs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[extinction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fort Crittenden]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Laramide]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mancos Shale]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mural limestone]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sonorasaurus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[technology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[volcanism]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://tucsoncitizen.com/wryheat/?p=109</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Cretaceous Period (145- to 65 million years ago) was hot and steamy. There was no ice at the poles. Global temperature is estimated to have been about 18 F warmer than today. Atmospheric carbon dioxide began a 145-million-year decline from about 2,000 ppm to the 380 ppm of today, in part, due to carbon [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: justify">The Cretaceous Period (<a href="http://www.geosociety.org/science/timescale/"><span style="text-decoration: underline"><span style="color: #0000ff">145- to 65 million years ago</span></span></a>) was hot and steamy. There was no ice at the poles. Global temperature is estimated to have been about 18 F warmer than today. Atmospheric carbon dioxide began a 145-million-year decline from about 2,000 ppm to the 380 ppm of today, in part, due to carbon sequestration by formation of coal deposits. Flowering plants appeared.</p>
<p><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-110" src="http://tucsoncitizen.com/wryheat/files/2009/10/Late-cretaceous-94ma.jpg" alt="Late cretaceous 94ma" width="506" height="393" /></p>
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<p style="text-align: justify">The North American continent was split by a sea connecting the Gulf of Mexico with the Arctic Ocean. Transgressions and regressions of this sea formed conditions ripe for coal formation similar to those in the <a href="http://tucsoncitizen.com/wryheat/2009/09/16/arizona-geological-history-chapter-3-devonian-to-permian-time/"><span style="text-decoration: underline"><span style="color: #0000ff">Paleozoic Era</span></span></a>. In Southern Arizona, the lower Cretaceous Bisbee Group, consisting of the basal Glance conglomerate, the Morita formation sandstones and mudstones, the distinctive Mural Limestone (which forms the cliffs just east of Bisbee), and the sandstones and mudstones of the Cintura Formation record the changes in sea level. Upper Cretaceous rocks, the Fort Crittenden Formation lie unconformably (representing erosion or structural change) upon the Bisbee Group. The lower Fort Crittenden is dominated by marginal wetland to deep-water lake deposits, whereas the upper Fort Crittenden is characterized by wetland to deltaic deposits. These rocks contain organic geochemical evidence of wildfires which suggest that seasonal aridity and wildfires were common occurrences.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify">There are no early Cretaceous rocks recognized in northern Arizona. Thick sequences of upper Cretaceous rocks were deposited on what is now the Colorado Plateau. These represent near-shore marine, coastal, and river-deposited sands, mudstone, and coal. Coal is mined from the Dakota sandstone at Black Mesa in Navajo County, AZ. This is overlain by the Mancos Shale, and several other sedimentary formations.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify">The Laramide orogeny of late Cretaceous to early Tertiary time (80- to 40 million years ago) built the Rocky Mountains and closed the inland Cretaceous sea. <a href="http://tucsoncitizen.com/wryheat/wp-admin/media.php?action=edit&amp;attachment_id=103"><span style="text-decoration: underline"><span style="color: #0000ff">Subduction</span></span></a> of oceanic crust under continental rocks along the west coast caused compression and uplift of the continent.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify">This was the time of emplacement of most of the porphyry copper deposits in the western U.S. Volcanism was extensive, and included the volcano that produced the rocks of the Tucson Mountains. (See the <a href="http://tucsoncitizen.com/wryheat/2009/06/30/tucson-mountains-chaos/"><span style="text-decoration: underline"><span style="color: #0000ff">Tucson Mountain story</span></span></a>).</p>
<p><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-111" src="http://tucsoncitizen.com/wryheat/files/2009/10/sonorasaurus-with-man.jpg" alt="sonorasaurus-with-man" width="550" height="363" /></p>
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<p style="text-align: justify">Dinosaurs roamed the land, including Arizona’s <em>Sonorasaurus thompsoni, </em>a new species of brachiosaurid dinosaur whose remains were first discovered in the Whetstone mountains by UofA graduate geology student Richard Thompson in 1994. Sonorasaurus is estimated to have been about 50 feet long and 27 feet tall, about one third of the size of other brachiosaurus. It may have been a juvenile or just a small dinosaur species. Sonorasaurus was an herbivore. Tooth gouges on its bones suggest it was killed and eaten by a larger dinosaur. A single blade-like tooth of a huge meat eater called Acrocanthosaurus was found near the bones and suggests that this was the predator that killed Sonorasaurus. You can see an exhibit dedicated to Sonorasaurus at the Arizona-Sonora Desert Museum.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify">The end of the Cretaceous Period saw another major extinction of life. Dinosaurs, pterosaurs, many marine reptiles, some marine invertebrates, some groups of mammals, and a few plant groups became extinct. The reasons are still controversial. We know that an asteroid impacted near Yucatan, Mexico and formed the Chicxulub crater about 65 million years ago. The impact is said to have vaporized rock into clouds of dust, that cooled temperatures, and created clouds of sulfurous gas, which may have killed plants with acid rain. The impact is also said to have deposited a thin clay layer containing iridium and strained quartz. However, the extinction occurred during an 800,000-year eruption of basalts that form the Deccan Traps in India. Volcanic eruptions can also product dust and sulfur dioxide emissions (and layers of iridium which characterize the K/T boundary). More precise dating shows that the Chicxulub impact occurred 300,000 years before the mass extinction. Evidence suggests that the extinctions occurred over a period of several million years.</p>
<p>Cretaceous Trivia:</p>
<p>The white cliffs of Dover, England are Cretaceous age chalk deposits.</p>
<p>Paul Spur, a rail stop between Bisbee and Douglas exists because Mural limestone was mined for smelter flux.</p>
<p><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-112" src="http://tucsoncitizen.com/wryheat/files/2009/10/Mural-limestone-1902.jpg" alt="Mural limestone 1902" width="480" height="379" /></p>
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<p style="text-align: justify">Hills carved from Cretaceous beds east of Bisbee. View is northward across Mule Gulch. The prominent white band is the upper member of the Mural limestone, forming the top of Mural Hill on the left and showing the dislocation due to the Mexican Canyon fault. Cochise County, Arizona. December 1, 1902. Plate 9-B in U.S. Geological Survey. Professional paper 21. 1904, figure 7 in U.S. Geological Survey Folio 112. 1904.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>See more of geologic history:</p>
<p><a href="http://tucsoncitizen.com/wryheat/2009/08/28/arizona-geologic-history-chapter-1-precambrian-time-when-arizona-was-at-the-south-p"><span style="text-decoration: underline"><span style="color: #0000ff">Precambrian</span></span></a>, <a href="http://tucsoncitizen.com/wryheat/2009/09/09/arizona-geological-history-chapter-2-cambrian-and-ordovician-time/"><span style="text-decoration: underline"><span style="color: #0000ff">Early Paleozoic</span></span></a>, <a href="http://tucsoncitizen.com/wryheat/2009/09/16/arizona-geological-history-chapter-3-devonian-to-permian-time/"><span style="text-decoration: underline"><span style="color: #0000ff">Late Paleozoic</span></span></a>, <a href="http://tucsoncitizen.com/wryheat/2009/09/22/arizona-geological-history-chapter-4-triassic-period/"><span style="text-decoration: underline"><span style="color: #0000ff">Triassic</span></span></a>, <a href="http://tucsoncitizen.com/wryheat/2009/10/01/arizona-geological-history-chapter-5-jurassic-time/"><span style="text-decoration: underline"><span style="color: #0000ff">Jurassic</span></span></a></p>
<p><a href="http://tucsoncitizen.com/wryheat/2009/10/20/arizona-geological-history-7-the-cenozoic-era/"><span style="text-decoration: underline"><span style="color: #0000ff">Arizona Geological History 7: The Cenozoic Era</span></span></a></p>
<p>References:</p>
<p>Dickinson, W.R., et al., 1989, Cretaceous Strata of Southern Arizona, in Geologic Evolution of Arizona, Arizona Geological Society Digest 17.</p>
<p>Finkelstein, D.B, et al., 2005, Wildfires and seasonal aridity recorded in Late Cretaceous strata from south-eastern Arizona, USA, Sedimentology, Volume 52, Issue 3 , Pages587 &#8211; 599, International Association of Sedimentologists</p>
<p>Krantz, R.W., 1989, Laramide Structures of Arizona, in Geologic Evolution of Arizona, Arizona Geological Society Digest 17.</p>
<p>Nations, J.D., 1989, Cretaceous History of Northeastern and East-Central Arizona, in Geologic Evolution of Arizona, Arizona Geological Society Digest 17.</p>
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		<title>Arizona Geological History: Chapter 3: Devonian to Permian Time</title>
		<link>http://tucsoncitizen.com/wryheat/2009/09/16/arizona-geological-history-chapter-3-devonian-to-permian-time/</link>
		<comments>http://tucsoncitizen.com/wryheat/2009/09/16/arizona-geological-history-chapter-3-devonian-to-permian-time/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 16 Sep 2009 16:07:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jonathan DuHamel</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Geology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Arizona geology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[coal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Devonian]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[extinction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fossils]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ice age]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mississippian]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Paleozoic]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pennsylvanian]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Permian]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[technology]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://tucsoncitizen.com/wryheat/?p=88</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Arizona warms from ice age, becomes tropical again, gets flooded by the ocean, suffers another ice age, warms up, makes coal, and suffers a major extinction of life. In this chapter we will complete the Paleozoic Era with four periods: Devonian (416- to 359 million years ago), Mississippian (359-318 mya), Pennsylvanian (318- 299 mya), and [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Arizona warms from ice age, becomes tropical again, gets flooded by the ocean, suffers another ice age, warms up, makes coal, and suffers a major extinction of life.</p>
<p>In this chapter we will complete the Paleozoic Era with four periods: Devonian (416- to 359 million years ago), Mississippian (359-318 mya), Pennsylvanian (318- 299 mya), and the Permian (299-251 mya). In the European classification, the Mississippian and Pennsylvanian are, together, called the Carboniferous period because it was during this time that most coal deposits were formed.</p>
<p>After recovery from the Ordovician ice age (about 440 mya), Arizona was apparently a highland on the southwest edge of a continental mass, about 30 degrees south of the equator. I say apparently, because there is no record from the Silurian period (444- to 416 mya ), so Arizona may have been dry land that was subject to erosion.</p>
<p><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-89" src="http://tucsoncitizen.com/wryheat/files/2009/09/390Ma.jpg" alt="390Ma" width="528" height="382" /></p>
<p>During the last four periods of the Paleozoic, Arizona was mainly under water. The rocks deposited during this time represent deposition on a continental shelf environment. There were several episodes of transgression (encroaching) and regression of the sea from the west. Only what is now the northeastern corner of the state remained above sea level for most of the time. The rise and fall of the sea was due to both tectonic shifting of land and changes in water volume from the glacial epochs.</p>
<p>Limestone was the principal rock deposited during this time along with relatively minor shale and sandstones. All the formations contain fossils. These limestones currently make up most of the mountain ranges south of Tucson.</p>
<p>Mississippian rocks rest unconformably (not at the same angle or with evidence of erosion) on Devonian and older rocks. This means that there was some tectonic adjustment and erosion between the two Periods. (And by the way, the geologic Periods are usually defined by their distinct fossil assemblages). The principal formation of the Devonian is called the Martin Formation with type area in Bisbee. The principal Mississippian limestone is called the Redwall Limestone near the Grand Canyon and the Escabrosa Limestone in southern Arizona. Kartchner caverns are in the Escabrosa Limestone, but the caves formed recently.</p>
<p><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-90" src="http://tucsoncitizen.com/wryheat/files/2009/09/306Ma.jpg" alt="306Ma" width="528" height="359" /></p>
<p>Pennsylvanian and Permian rocks represent complex cycles of transgression/regression by the sea, caused by changes in water volume due to glacial epochs, and by tectonic uplift and sinking of the continent. This tectonic shifting was the result of the collision of Gondwana on the south with Pangea on the north. Carbonate rocks dominate in the northwest and southeast, while sandstones and conglomerates dominate in central and northeast Arizona.</p>
<p> Most coal deposits developed during the Carboniferous period. Arizona caught some of this in the northeastern part of the state. Coal is mostly carbon accumulations from fossil plant material deposited in swamps so devoid of oxygen that bacteria and other critters couldn&#8217;t survive to feed on their remains. This implies that climate was warm and wet, and that the cyclic transgressions/regressions of the sea were relatively quick enough to bury the swamps before the luxuriant plant life could be destroyed.</p>
<p>Arizona coal was formed about 300 million years ago. It is mined in Navajo county, and, according to the Arizona Department of Mines and Mineral Resources, ranks second only to copper in economic importance.</p>
<p><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-91" src="http://tucsoncitizen.com/wryheat/files/2009/09/255Ma.jpg" alt="255Ma" width="530" height="377" /></p>
<p>Worldwide coal formation stripped the atmosphere of carbon dioxide. Beginning in mid- Devonian time, about 380 mya, through early Mississippian time, atmospheric carbon dioxide dropped from around 4,000 ppm to near current levels of 400 ppm by 340 million years ago. Temperature, however, remained high (about 68 F world average vs 57 F today). But near the Pennsylvania-Permian boundary time, about 270 million years ago, the planet was plunged into another ice age. Note the 70-million-year gap between lowered carbon dioxide and decreased temperature. By the end of the Permian, temperatures rose again to an average of about 63 F, soon followed by a rise in carbon dioxide to just under 3,000 ppm. (Rising temperature causes more carbon dioxide to be exsolved from the oceans.) Volcanism contributed to the rising carbon dioxide.</p>
<p>The first known land vertebrates, amphibians, appeared in late Paleozoic time. Devonian rocks contain fossils of amphibians called stegocephalians (roofed head) because of flat, broad heads. Most were one- to two inches long, but later forms became as large as a crocodile and most were probably carnivorous judging by the teeth.</p>
<p>Reptile fossils appear in Pennsylvanian rocks. The first were small like amphibians, but later Permian reptiles got up to eight feet long. One group, the Therapsids, had teeth differentiated into incisors, canines, and molars similar to present-day mammals.</p>
<p>The Permian ended with a mass extinction in which about 90% of species disappeared, including marine fauna, plants, and terrestrial animals. The reason for this extinction is unknown although there are many speculative theories. This extinction happened over a period of several million years and is coincident with the coalescing of continents and extensive volcanism.</p>
<p>When Pangea and Gondwana collided is reduced marine habitats and brought deep, oxygen-poor ocean water to near surface environments. Major volcanism, in what is now Siberia, lasted for about one million years and annually spewed billions of tons of sulfur dioxide and carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. These two events are probably contributory to the extinctions.</p>
<p>But, with the dawning of the new Mesozoic era, life rebounded and became more diverse and more robust.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-92" src="http://tucsoncitizen.com/wryheat/files/2009/09/Omphalotrochus2.jpg" alt="Omphalotrochus2" width="524" height="543" /></p>
<p>PHOTO: Omphalotrochus (snail) from the Permian Colina formation, collected about 2 miles southeast of the Tombstone airport. Notice also the pits made by rain drops differentially eroding the limestone.</p>
<p>See <a href="http://tucsoncitizen.com/wryheat/2009/08/28/arizona-geologic-history-chapter-1-precambrian-time-when-arizona-was-at-the-south-p"><span style="text-decoration: underline"><span style="color: #0000ff">Chapter 1</span></span></a>: the Precambrian, and <a href="http://tucsoncitizen.com/wryheat/2009/09/09/arizona-geological-history-chapter-2-cambrian-and-ordovician-time/"><span style="text-decoration: underline"><span style="color: #0000ff">Chapter 2</span></span></a>, the Cambrian and Ordovician periods.</p>
<p><a href="http://tucsoncitizen.com/wryheat/2009/09/22/arizona-geological-history-chapter-4-triassic-period/">Chapter 4</a>: the Triassic Period</p>
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		<title>A Geologist&#8217;s Tale</title>
		<link>http://tucsoncitizen.com/wryheat/2009/06/10/a-geologists-tale/</link>
		<comments>http://tucsoncitizen.com/wryheat/2009/06/10/a-geologists-tale/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Jun 2009 01:03:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jonathan DuHamel</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Geology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[biodiversity fossils]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[endangered species]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[evolution]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[extinction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ice age]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://tucsoncitizen.com/wryheat/?p=11</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Endangered Species Act is bad law because it fails to provide any positive incentives for conservation; it &#8220;takes&#8221; beneficial economic use of private property without just compensation; it prevents economic opportunity on public land; and it seeks the unnatural. Preservation is unnatural because things change; nature itself creates species and kills them off, most [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Endangered Species Act is bad law because it fails to provide any positive incentives for conservation; it &#8220;takes&#8221; beneficial economic use of private property without just compensation; it prevents economic opportunity on public land; and it seeks the unnatural. Preservation is unnatural because things change; nature itself creates species and kills them off, most notably in 15 known mass extinctions in the last 500 million years and in at least two other mass extinctions before that. But, after each mass extinction, speciation and biodiversity increased, because the most robust lived and evolved to occupy the newly empty life niches.</p>
<p>It is, perhaps, only natural to want to preserve the status quo, but some environmentalists carry this to ridiculous extreme and even yearn for some imagined Eden that never was. Whatever their motives may be, they derive them in part from ignorance about life on earth. So let me tell you a story.</p>
<p>In the first half of the 19<sup>th</sup> century, when the science of geology was young, a British geologist, Adam Sedgewick, was working in Wales. He noticed that certain strata contained abundant fossils of marine life that formed a characteristic life assemblage which was, later, to be recognized throughout England and Europe. He named these strata &#8220;Cambrian&#8221; after the Latin name for Wales. He also noticed that successive layers of rock contained a slightly different characteristic assemblage of fossils. Life was evolving. Later dating would place the beginning of the Cambrian period at about 540 million years ago.</p>
<p><span style="font-size: small">But there was a mystery. The Cambrian rocks showed an &#8220;explosion&#8221; of abundant and varied animal life. The strata below the Cambrian (called Precambrian) was apparently devoid of obvious life. This vexed Charles Darwin whose new theory of evolution demanded that the Cambrian animals should have evolved from earlier life forms. </span></p>
<p>Of course, Darwin was right; there are Precambrian fossils, but they weren’t discovered until 1940 because they weren’t obvious. It’s hard to make a fossil out of a jellyfish. I’ll get back to that later.</p>
<div><span style="font-size: small">So let’s now go back to the beginning and take up the story, as we know it, in chronological order.</span></div>
<div></div>
<p><span style="font-size: small"></p>
<div><span style="font-size: small">Life leaves a signature. We now know that life began on Earth almost 4 billion years ago, and it left a signature consisting of a special combination of carbon isotopes. The first known life-form on Earth was the bacterium. You’ll notice that bacteria are still with us. That’s because they are good chemists. They don’t change body shape, but they do change chemical processes in response to the environment.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-size: small"> </span></div>
<p></span><span style="font-size: small"> </p>
<p></span></p>
<p>The first bacteria developed and lived at crushing ocean depths near undersea volcanoes where they derived sustenance from hydrogen sulfide emitted by the volcanoes. Gradually these earliest bacteria worked their way to shallow water near land, and started to use carbon dioxide and sunlight. The oldest known fossils are microfossils called stromatolites, which are remnants of bacterial mats. The earliest stromatolites are dated at about 3.5 billion years before present. For about one billion years, bacteria were the only life-form on earth.</p>
<p>Bacteria give off oxygen, and after a billion years, that process caused an environmental crisis. About 2.5 billion years ago, oxygen levels in the ocean reached some critical level which caused iron and manganese to precipitate. All of the world’s large iron deposits, called Banded Iron Formations, formed between 2.5- and 1.8 billion years ago, and none have formed since. After oceanic iron was used up, oxygen increased in the atmosphere. The oxygen began to destroy methane, a very powerful greenhouse gas, and the reaction produced carbon dioxide, which is 62 times less effective at warming the surface of the planet. Loss of methane plunged the planet into a profound ice age that lasted for about 30 million years. The bacteria retreated to equatorial habitats and again toward warm volcanic vents. Populations became isolated and some changed; they became more organized into a new life form called Eukaryotic microbes. Fossil Eukaryotes appear in the iron formations, initially as single cells, then as multicellular chains up to 4&#8243; long. Life was getting big. The Eukaryotes would eventually become animals, plants, and fungi. Algae appear in the fossil record beginning about one billion years ago.</p>
<p>Planet Earth suffered another series of ice ages between 750 million and 600 million years ago, which caused at least three separate mass extinctions including most of the stromatolites. Another extinction occurred 560 to 500 million years ago, right at the start of the Cambrian Period. But with each extinction, life bounced back, became more diverse, and bigger. And that brings us back to the discovery in 1940.</p>
<p>In 1940, an Australian geologist, R.C. Sprigg, found some fossils in Precambrian sandstone in southern Australia. These &#8220;Ediacarans&#8221; resembled jellyfish, worms, and stalked sea anemone-like creatures. Some of these fossils were nearly three feet long. Similar fossils have since been found worldwide. The Ediacarans appeared about 580 million years ago and were largely gone by 550 million years ago. As I said, it’s hard to make a fossil out of a jellyfish. The early Ediacarans were preserved in bacterial mats, stromatolites. When the stromatolites disappeared, so did the means of fossilizing Ediacarans.</p>
<p>The next evidence of animal life are trace fossils, not the critters themselves but squiggles and tracks left by relatively large animals capable of locomotion. Next came SSFs, small shelly fossils, evidence that animals first formed hard parts that are easily fossilized. These critters appeared beginning about 545 million years ago. The &#8220;abundant life&#8221; in Sedgewick’s mid-Cambrian assemblages didn’t appear until 522 million years ago. Genetic work from molecular biology studies, and more-recent fossil discoveries suggest that a major diversification in animal life took place at least 50 million years before the Cambrian, and that the Cambrian &#8220;explosion&#8221; represented the <em>second</em> major diversification. So you see, there is a continuous line of fossil evidence for evolution; it just took us a while to recognize it.</p>
<p>Abundant, visible life was present on planet earth by 500 million years ago, and nature tried to kill it off several more times. Here are the major events.</p>
<p>The Ordovician and Devonian mass extinctions of 440- and 370 million years ago caused extinction of 20% of marine families. The Permo-Triassic mass extinction event of 250 million years ago appears to have been the most catastrophic. It is estimated that 80% to 90% of all species became extinct during this event. These extinctions are associated with Ice Ages.</p>
<p>About 50% of genera were eliminated in the end-Triassic extinction 200 million years ago. This one may have been caused by cooling associated with an asteroid impact. The Cretaceous/Tertiary extinction, 65 million years ago which eliminated the dinosaurs and about 50% of other species is attributed to cooling events caused by vulcanism and asteroid impact.</p>
<p>Finally, megafauna, such as the mammoth, became extinct about 10,000 years ago following the last period of glaciation. The time of extinction coincides with a major cooling event called the Younger Dryas. Some attribute this event to asteroid impact.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>Life on earth is risky, but resilient, and each extinction was followed by more speciation and greater biodiversity. The old order gives way to new.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>So that’s my story. Put all that against the feeble folly of the ESA. Do you see now why the plight of pygmy owls and other &#8220;endangered&#8221; species doesn’t impress me? Lots of things kill off life on earth, including us. We are part of Nature. Notice also, that most extinctions were associated with cooling; not warming.</p>
<p> <strong>Bottom Line</strong>: The Endangered Species Act reflects only our own hubris, and is just so much wasteful foolishness because Nature is the ultimate impartial and ruthless arbiter of life on earth.</p>
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