U.S. goal: lasting regional alliance with Afghan, Pakistan
Local residents of Mingora, capital of the troubled valley of Swat, are seen at a bus terminal as they leave the city Tuesday. Turbaned Taliban militants seized government buildings, laid mines and fought security forces in the valley, as fear of a major operation led thousands to pack their belongings on their heads and backs, cram aboard buses and flee the northwestern region. Taliban militants patrolled the streets and residents were urged to flee as a peace deal criticized as a surrender to the extremists appeared on the verge of collapse, witnesses and officials said.
WASHINGTON – President Obama’s complex, costly and far-reaching strategy for Afghanistan, one that links success there with stability in neighboring Pakistan, embarks on a high-stakes shakedown cruise this week.
The leaders of both nations, Pakistan’s Asif Ali Zardari and Afghanistan’s Hamid Karzai, are in Washington for meetings with Obama, who will emphasize U.S. intentions to build a strong and lasting regional alliance.
It’s a mission that will take many years, cost billions of dollars, put more American troops at risk and be undertaken against historically poor odds.
Obama’s aim, administration officials say, is to fully engage both leaders in his grand regional strategy. The idea is to turn both countries into full-fledged U.S. allies, rather than treating them as platforms on which the United States fights militant enemies and then goes home.
U.S. failure in either or both countries could add vastly to threats to U.S. security. Fighting rages in both nations, primarily against Taliban militants – the fundamentalist Islamic force that provides sanctuary for Osama bin Laden and other al-Qaida leaders in the nearly impenetrable mountains that straddle the Afghanistan-Pakistan border.
While diminished since it conducted the Sept. 11 attacks, al-Qaida remains robust in its safe haven along Afghanistan’s rugged border. A collapse of the democratically elected, secular government in Pakistan, meanwhile, could put the country’s sizable nuclear arsenal at risk of falling into militant hands.
The Taliban fighters, driven from power by U.S. and allied Afghan forces in the first months after the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks on the United States, have retaken large swaths of Afghanistan and are now making deep and threatening advances into Pakistan – within striking distance of the capital.
Obama will meet together and separately with Karzai and Zardari before he sends them off for detailed briefings at the FBI, the CIA and other intelligence agencies and the State Department. They will sit down with Vice President Joe Biden as well.
Last week, Obama said the possibility of Pakistani nuclear weapons falling into militant hands was not an immediate worry, but that he remained deeply concerned about the dangers advancing on the region.
“I’m confident that we can make sure that Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal is secure,” Obama said at his last news conference.
Asked Monday about whether the sensitive issue of nuclear security would come up at the talks, White House spokesman Robert Gibbs said, “I don’t doubt that (it) will be mentioned.”
But Gibbs said the president would be spending “a lot of time” trying to reinforce his new strategy, one that ensures the United States will “finally have a regional approach.”
In the longer term, Obama has said he is “more concerned that the civilian government there right now is very fragile” and doesn’t “seem to have the capacity to deliver basic services . . . for the majority of the people.”
To help, Obama has asked Congress for quick approval of hundreds of millions of dollars in emergency military aid for Pakistan and is backing an aid package providing $7.5 billion over the next five years.
In Afghanistan, Obama is deploying 17,000 more U.S. troops into the south and east of the country, while working at the same time to ease humanitarian suffering in that desperately poor nation..
The plan for both nations is to militarily defeat the resurgent Taliban while boosting domestic support for the governments through aid programs.
While administration attention now focuses heavily on Pakistan, Afghanistan’s Karzai may be approaching his own visit with some sense of vindication.
Since his election, Obama has been rough on Karzai, calling him ineffective and his government corrupt.
But in the last couple of weeks, Karzai scored a major political coup by persuading the main challenger for this year’s presidential election, provincial governor Gul Agha Sherzai, not to run.
Karzai’s nearly certain re-election means the Obama administration will have to deal with the Afghan leader for the remainder of the U.S. president’s term.
On March 27, Obama presented his realigned plans for dealing with the Afghan war, a strategy that includes Pakistan as a potential partner rather than a nation reluctant to help fight the Taliban.
Wednesday’s meetings will offer a glimmer of how that’s working so far.
Steven R. Hurst, who has covered foreign policy for 30 years, reports from the White House for The Associated Press.